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Aluminium Price Forecasts

Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts is the result of a comprehensive quarterly survey of over 30 of the world’s most prominent commodity forecasters covering over 25 individual commodity price forecasts including aluminium and alumina.

The only publication of its kind, Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts contains detailed individual analyst and average (mean) price forecasts for the next 10 quarters as well as the long-term outlook.

Aluminium Price Forecasts Image

The publication has many practical uses including commodity investment analysis, risk management, corporate planning, and budgeting. The commodities covered have been selected for their global appeal and traded on prominent futures markets such as the London Metal Exchange (LME), New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and InterContinental Exchange (ICE). For example, the aluminium forecasts below are based on LME cash prices for high-grade aluminium of at least 99.7% purity.

Aluminium Price Forecasts From Survey of October 24, 2011
(US$/metric tonne)
Survey Date Spot Price US$2159/t Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun
12		 Sep 12 % Change from spot Dec 12 Mar 13 Jun 13 Sep 13 Dec 13
BIPE 2450 2600 2800 2900 34.3% Download the sample issue
Deutsche Bank 2250 2500 2600 2700 25.1% below to see the complete table
Wilson HTM 2324 2551 2551 2651 22.8% of forecasts, price charts,
Macquarie Bank 2550 2700 2700 2650 22.7% and written analysis.
RBS 2646 2491 2601 2646 22.5%
BoA Merrill Lynch 1950 2300 2500 2600 20.4%
Metal Bulletin Research 2322 2480 2540 2600 20.4%
Credit Suisse 2293 2403 2491 2557 18.5%
Barclays Capital 2300 2425 2500 2550 18.1%
BNP Paribas 2415 2500 2550 2525 17.0%
CPM Group 2175 2325 2535 2510 16.2%
IHS Global Insight 2195 2335 2450 2497 15.7%
Oxford Economics 2250 2353 2446 2486 15.1%
Societe Generale 2380 2450 2480 2470 14.4%
ANZ 2280 2447 2524 2469 14.4%
Econ Intelligence Unit 2320 2350 2400 2440 13.0%
HWWI 2300 2320 2400 2400 11.2%
Prometeia 2290 2310 2324 2340 8.4%
Citigroup 2350 2225 2275 2300 6.5%
BREE 2337 2211 2211 2211 2.4%
Investec na 2205 2205 2205 2.1%
UBS 2205 2205 2205 2205 2.1%
Morgan Stanley 2381 2293 2315 2205 2.1%
Consensus (Mean) 2316 2390 2461 2483 15.0%
High 2646 2700 2800 2900 -
Low 1950 2205 2205 2205 -
Standard Deviation 1237 132 154 180 -

The table above shows a portion of aluminium price forecasts taken from the October 2011 issue of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts. A complete sample issue of the publication, which also includes Consensus Forecasts™ for Copper, Lead, Nickel, Tin and Zinc, as well as ferrous and precious metals, can be downloaded in PDF format by clicking the link below and registering your details.


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