European Gas Oil Price Forecasts

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Special Surveys in February include Trends in Productivity and Wages (CF and CF-USA) and Economic Policy Evaluation (LACF).

In March we survey for Quarter-by-Quarter Forecasts for the G7, Western Europe and Asia Pacific economies.

In April we poll for Long-Term 5-10 year forecasts for the G7, Asia Pacific and Latin American economies; those for Eastern Europe feature in March.

The April edition of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts includes a Special Analysis of Seasonal Commodity Price Patterns.

In June we survey for Quarter-by-Quarter Forecasts for the G7, Asia Pacific and Latin American economies. Eastern Europe quarterlies feature in May.

In our July surveys, we evaluate global monetary and fiscal policy conditions and assess likely policy directions over the next 12 months.

The July edition of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts will feature a Special Survey on Factors Affecting Commodity Prices.

In September we poll for Quarter-by-Quarter Forecasts for the G7, Western Europe and Asia Pacific economies.

In October we survey for Long-Term 5-10 year forecasts for the G7, Asia Pacific and Latin American economies; those for Eastern Europe feature in September.

Our November publications focus on forecasts for Real Interest Rates and Corporate Profits, as well as Foreign Direct Investment in Asia Pacific.

In December we survey for Quarter-by-Quarter Forecasts for the G7, Western Europe, Asia Pacific and Latin American economies.

In January,Consensus Economics surveys panellists for their 2012 and 2013 forecasts, as well as the risks associated with non-consensus outcomes.

Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts is the result of a comprehensive quarterly survey of over 30 of the world’s most prominent commodity forecasters covering over 25 individual commodity price forecasts including gasoline and heating oil.

The only publication of its kind, Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts contains detailed individual analyst and average (mean) price forecasts for the next 10 quarters as well as the long-term outlook.

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The publication has many practical uses including commodity investment analysis, risk management, corporate planning, and budgeting. The commodities covered have been selected for their global appeal and traded on prominent futures markets such as the London Metal Exchange (LME), New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and InterContinental Exchange (ICE). For example, the gas oil forecasts below are based on Rotterdam spot prices for European gas oil.

Gas Oil (Europe, Rotterdam) Price Forecasts From Survey of October 24, 2011 (US$/tonne)
Survey Date Spot Price US$975.5/tonne	Dec 11	Mar 12	Jun 12	Sep 12	% Change from spot	Dec 12	Mar 13	Jun 13	Sep 13	Dec 13
GKI Research	990.0	990.0	990.0	950.0	-2.6%	Download the sample issue
BoA Merrill Lynch	880.3	880.3	921.3	947.4	-2.9%	below to see the complete table
Deutsche Bank	925.0	925.0	930.0	930.0	-4.7%	of forecasts, price charts,
Societe Generale	836.9	844.3	849.3	874.1	-10.4%	and written analysis.
P K Verleger	884.6	706.7	670.8	688.1	-29.5%
Consensus (Mean)	903.4	869.3	872.3	877.9	-10.0%
High	990.0	990.0	990.0	950.0	-
Low	836.9	706.7	670.8	688.1	-
Standard Deviation	57.6	105.9	123.2	110.5	-

The table above shows a portion of gas oil price forecasts taken from the October 2011 issue of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts. A complete sample issue of the publication, which also includes Consensus Forecasts™ for Crude Oil, Gasoline & Heating Oil, Natural Gas, Coal and Uranium, as well as base, ferrous and precious metals, can be downloaded in PDF format by clicking the link below and registering your details.

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