Hong Kong Economic Forecasts

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Special Surveys in February include Trends in Productivity and Wages (CF and CF-USA) and Economic Policy Evaluation (LACF).

In March we survey for Quarter-by-Quarter Forecasts for the G7, Western Europe and Asia Pacific economies.

In April we poll for Long-Term 5-10 year forecasts for the G7, Asia Pacific and Latin American economies; those for Eastern Europe feature in March.

The April edition of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts includes a Special Analysis of Seasonal Commodity Price Patterns.

In June we survey for Quarter-by-Quarter Forecasts for the G7, Asia Pacific and Latin American economies. Eastern Europe quarterlies feature in May.

In our July surveys, we evaluate global monetary and fiscal policy conditions and assess likely policy directions over the next 12 months.

The July edition of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts will feature a Special Survey on Factors Affecting Commodity Prices.

In September we poll for Quarter-by-Quarter Forecasts for the G7, Western Europe and Asia Pacific economies.

In October we survey for Long-Term 5-10 year forecasts for the G7, Asia Pacific and Latin American economies; those for Eastern Europe feature in September.

Our November publications focus on forecasts for Real Interest Rates and Corporate Profits, as well as Foreign Direct Investment in Asia Pacific.

In December we survey for Quarter-by-Quarter Forecasts for the G7, Western Europe, Asia Pacific and Latin American economies.

In January,Consensus Economics surveys panellists for their 2012 and 2013 forecasts, as well as the risks associated with non-consensus outcomes.

Published monthly, Asia Pacific Consensus Forecasts offers a comprehensive outlook for the Hong Kong economy; covering 14 macroeconomic variables over a 2 year forecast horizon. Forecasts are provided by leading economists whose individual views are shown together with the average (mean) forecast. In addition, our analysis includes 4 years of historical data for these same variables as well as written analysis and charts. Furthermore, the publication provides Consensus Forecasts™ for the Hong Kong dollar against the US dollar in 3, 12 and 24 months time.

Variables covered in our monthly analysis of Hong Kong include:

Gross Domestic Product
Private Consumption
Gross Fixed Investment
Consumer Prices
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Re-Exports

Merchandise Exports
Merchandise Imports
Trade Balance
Goods and Services Balance
Consolidated Budget Balance
Interest Rates
Hong Kong dollar Forecasts

In addition to the regular surveys for the variables listed above we also undertake a number of Special Surveys for Hong Kong on topics such as:

Quarterly Forecasts
Long-Term 5 and 10 Year Forecasts
Economic Policy Evaluation
Real Interest Rates and Foreign Direct Investment
Forecast Probabilities, and
Forecasts of Trade and Current Account Balances

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