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Lead Price Forecasts

Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts is the result of a comprehensive quarterly survey of over 30 of the world’s most prominent commodity forecasters covering over 25 individual commodity price forecasts including lead.

The only publication of its kind, Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts contains detailed individual analyst and average (mean) price forecasts for the next 10 quarters as well as the long-term outlook.

Lead Price Forecasts Image

The publication has many practical uses including commodity investment analysis, risk management, corporate planning, and budgeting. The commodities covered have been selected for their global appeal and traded on prominent futures markets such as the London Metal Exchange (LME), New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and InterContinental Exchange (ICE). For example, the lead price forecasts below are based on LME cash prices for lead of 99.970% minimum purity.

Lead Price Forecasts From Survey of October 24, 2011
(US$/metric tonne)
Survey Date Spot Price US$1941/t Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun
12		 Sep 12 % Change from spot Dec 12 Mar 13 Jun 13 Sep 13 Dec 13
BoA Merrill Lynch 1900 2500 2000 2750 41.7% Download the sample issue
BIPE 2400 2500 2600 2700 39.1% below to see the complete table
Deutsche Bank 2350 2450 2600 2700 39.1% of forecasts, price charts,
Wilson HTM 2403 2526 2526 2651 36.6% and written analysis.
Macquarie Bank 2500 2600 2600 2650 36.5%
RBS 2469 2491 2557 2646 36.3%
Metal Bulletin Research 2100 2200 2400 2600 34.0%
Barclays Capital 2250 2400 2450 2525 30.1%
CPM Group 2175 2325 2535 2510 29.3%
Econ Intelligence Unit 2161 2205 2315 2425 25.0%
ANZ 2161 2359 2414 2370 22.1%
BNP Paribas 2045 2300 2395 2360 21.6%
Credit Suisse 2006 2205 2293 2359 21.5%
Oxford Economics 2395 2345 2326 2338 20.5%
Citigroup 2300 2200 2225 2250 15.9%
HWWI 1900 2150 2270 2250 15.9%
IHS Global Insight 2100 2056 2116 2247 15.8%
Societe Generale 2250 2350 2260 2230 14.9%
Investec na 2094 2094 2205 13.6%
UBS 1984 2094 2205 2205 13.6%
Morgan Stanley 2293 2403 2315 2205 13.6%
Prometeia 2278 2225 2142 2090 7.7%
Consensus (Mean) 2210 2317 2347 2421 24.7%
High 2500 2600 2600 2750 -
Low 1900 2056 2000 2090 -
Standard Deviation 179 156 177 203 -

The table above shows a portion of lead price forecasts taken from the October 2011 issue of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts. A complete sample issue of the publication, which also includes Consensus Forecasts™ for Aluminium, Copper, Nickel, Tin and Zinc, as well as ferrous and precious metals, can be downloaded in PDF format by clicking the link below and registering your details.


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