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Natural Gas Price Forecasts

Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts is the result of a comprehensive quarterly survey of over 30 of the world’s most prominent commodity forecasters covering over 25 individual commodity price forecasts including natural gas.

The only publication of its kind, Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts contains detailed consensus and individual analyst price forecasts for the next 10 quarters as well as the long-term outlook.

Natural Gas Price Forecasts Image

The publication has many practical uses including commodity investment analysis, risk management, corporate planning, and budgeting. The commodities covered have been selected for their global appeal and traded on prominent futures markets such as the London Metal Exchange (LME), New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and InterContinental Exchange (ICE). The natural gas price forecasts below are for US spot prices from the Henry Hub in Louisiana and UK 1-day forwards.

Natural Gas (US, Henry Hub) Forecasts From Survey of October 26, 2009
(US$/mmBtu)
Survey Date Spot Price US$4.545/mmBtu Dec 09 Mar 10 Jun
10
Sep 10 % Change from spot Dec 10 Mar 11 Jun 11 Sep 11 Dec 11
Macquarie Bank 4.000 6.000 6.500 8.000 76.0% Download the sample issue
Societe Generale 3.750 5.130 5.800 6.630 45.9% below to see the complete table
Bank of America 5.000 5.100 5.300 6.000 32.0% of forecasts, price charts,
Deutsche Bank 4.750 5.500 6.000 6.000 32.0% and written analysis.
RBS 4.250 6.000 6.000 6.000 32.0%
Wilson HTM 4.000 6.000 6.000 6.000 32.0%
JP Morgan 5.000 6.000 5.500 5.750 26.5%
CIBC 4.500 4.250 4.750 5.250 15.5%
Scotiabank 4.850 6.000 5.500 5.000 10.0%
BNP Paribas 4.700 5.400 5.200 4.920 8.3%
Barclays Capital 4.000 5.300 4.750 4.750 4.5%
UBS 6.100 4.700 4.700 4.700 3.4%
Econ Intelligence Unit 3.250 3.700 4.000 4.250 -6.5%
GKI Research 4.100 4.200 4.200 4.200 -7.6%
Consensus (Mean) 4.446 5.234 5.300 5.532 21.7%
High 6.100 6.000 6.500 8.000 -
Low 3.250 3.700 4.000 4.200 -
Standard Deviation 0.698 0.772 0.740 1.026 -

UK Natural Gas Forecasts From Survey of October 26, 2009
(UK£/therm)
Survey Date Spot Price UK£0.332/therm Dec 09 Mar 10 Jun
10
Sep 10 % Change from spot Dec 10 Mar 11 Jun 11 Sep 11 Dec 11
Bank of America 0.415 0.460 0.390 0.410 23.5% Download the sample issue
Deutsche Bank 0.351 0.378 0.396 0.396 19.3% below to see the complete table
GKI Research 0.350 0.360 0.360 0.360 8.4% of forecasts, price charts,
BNP Paribas 0.300 0.350 0.330 0.350 5.4% and written analysis.
BIPE 0.333 0.333 0.339 0.339 2.1%
Consensus (Mean) 0.350 0.376 0.363 0.371 11.7%
High 0.415 0.460 0.396 0.410 -
Low 0.300 0.333 0.330 0.339 -
Standard Deviation 0.042 0.050 0.030 0.031 -

The tables above show a portion of US and UK natural gas price forecasts taken from the October 2009 issue of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts. A complete sample issue of the publication, which also includes forecasts for Crude Oil, Gasoline & Heating Oil, Gas Oil, Coal and Uranium as well as base, ferrous and precious metals, can be downloaded in PDF format by clicking the link below and registering your details.


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