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Natural Gas Price Forecasts

Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts is the result of a comprehensive quarterly survey of over 30 of the world’s most prominent commodity forecasters covering over 25 individual commodity price forecasts including natural gas.

The only publication of its kind, Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts contains detailed individual analyst and average (mean) price forecasts for the next 10 quarters as well as the long-term outlook.

Natural Gas Price Forecasts Image

The publication has many practical uses including commodity investment analysis, risk management, corporate planning, and budgeting. The commodities covered have been selected for their global appeal and traded on prominent futures markets such as the London Metal Exchange (LME), New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and InterContinental Exchange (ICE). The natural gas price forecasts below are for US spot prices from the Henry Hub in Louisiana and UK 1-day forwards.

Natural Gas (US, Henry Hub) Forecasts From Survey of October 24, 2011
(US$/mmBtu)
Survey Date Spot Price US$3.603/mmBtu Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun
12		 Sep 12 % Change from spot Dec 12 Mar 13 Jun 13 Sep 13 Dec 13
Citigroup 4.535 5.800 5.800 5.800 61.0% Download the sample issue
RBS 4.055 5.500 5.500 5.500 52.7% below to see the complete table
Deutsche Bank 4.500 5.000 4.750 5.000 38.8% of forecasts, price charts,
Econ Intelligence Unit 4.250 4.750 4.600 4.650 29.1% and written analysis.
CIBC 3.550 4.250 4.450 4.550 26.3%
UBS 4.250 4.500 4.500 4.500 24.9%
Wilson HTM 4.000 4.250 4.250 4.500 24.9%
BoA Merrill Lynch 4.250 4.650 4.500 4.450 23.5%
Oxford Economics 4.251 4.302 4.354 4.410 22.4%
Barclays Capital 4.500 4.500 4.400 4.400 22.1%
GKI Research 4.400 4.550 4.600 4.400 22.1%
Credit Suisse 4.050 4.250 4.150 4.350 20.7%
Macquarie Bank 3.850 4.200 4.250 4.250 18.0%
Societe Generale 4.000 4.300 4.200 4.030 11.9%
GKI Research 3.500 3.500 3.500 3.500 10.1%
BNP Paribas 4.000 4.240 4.170 3.900 8.2%
P K Verleger 3.400 3.500 3.500 3.500 -2.9%
Consensus (Mean) 4.115 4.534 4.498 4.512 25.2%
High 4.535 5.800 5.800 5.800 -
Low 3.400 3.500 3.500 3.500 -
Standard Deviation 0.324 0.544 0.533 0.557 -

UK Natural Gas Forecasts From Survey of October 24, 2011
(UK£/therm)
Survey Date Spot Price UK£0.651/therm Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun
12		 Sep 12 % Change from spot Dec 12 Mar 13 Jun 13 Sep 13 Dec 13
Barclays Capital 0.700 0.800 0.650 0.650 -0.2% Download the sample issue
GKI Research 0.660 0.670 0.670 0.630 -3.2% below to see the complete table
Deutsche Bank 0.604 0.643 0.582 0.608 -6.6% of forecasts, price charts,
Societe Generale 0.580 0.650 0.550 0.550 -15.5% and written analysis
BNP Paribas 0.590 0.600 0.510 0.500 -23.2%  
Consensus (Mean) 0.627 0.673 0.592 0.588 -9.7%
High 0.700 0.800 0.670 0.650 -
Low 0.580 0.600 0.510 0.500 -
Standard Deviation 0.051 0.076 0.067 0.062 -

The tables above show a portion of US and UK natural gas price forecasts taken from the October 2011 issue of Energy & Metals Consensus Forecasts. A complete sample issue of the publication, which also includes Consensus Forecasts™ for Crude Oil, Gasoline & Heating Oil, Gas Oil, Coal and Uranium as well as base, ferrous and precious metals, can be downloaded in PDF format by clicking the link below and registering your details.


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